Gazing into the future of agroforestry: which models work?

Climate change effects are harder to model in multi-functional landscapes. Photo by Neil Palmer (CIAT), of ploughed fields in Kibirichia, Mount Kenya region. Via Flikr - bit.ly/KBQf7i.
Climate change effects are harder to model in multi-functional landscapes. Photo by Neil Palmer (CIAT), of ploughed fields in Kibirichia, Mount Kenya region. Via Flikr – bit.ly/KBQf7i.

What if we could peer into the future and see clearly how climate change will affect agriculture in the coming decades and centuries? We would then be able to confidently design, now, the farming systems that would work in that future.  With climate change modeling it is possible to forecast future scenarios with variable accuracy.

Modeling has been used extensively to plan ahead for single-crop systems, but predicting how agroforestry systems will behave in the environments of the future presents special challenges.Read more. . .

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